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Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 22, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
GL

Lecce
1 - 0
Genoa

Oudin (83')
Almqvist (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)

De Winter (7'), Caricol (9')
Caricol (36')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monza 1-1 Lecce
Sunday, September 17 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 2-2 Napoli
Saturday, September 16 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 1-1 Genoa

Despite never going five games unbeaten at the start of a Serie A season before, Lecce will fancy their chances of setting that new club record here. Genoa have also shown some very promising signs, especially in games against Lazio and Napoli, and should make this a close, competitive encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 49.68%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 22.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lecce in this match.

Result
LecceDrawGenoa
49.68% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04) 27.39% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 22.92% (0.032 0.03)
Both teams to score 43.15% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.02% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)60.98% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)80.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.24% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)24.76% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.68% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)59.32% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.35% (0.028999999999996 0.03)42.65% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21% (0.026 0.03)79% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 49.68%
    Genoa 22.93%
    Draw 27.38%
LecceDrawGenoa
1-0 @ 14.74%
2-0 @ 10.29% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.77% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 4.79% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.08% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 1.74%
4-0 @ 1.67% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.42% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 49.68%
1-1 @ 12.56% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.55%
2-2 @ 3.74% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 27.38%
0-1 @ 9% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.35% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.83% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 22.93%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Monza 1-1 Lecce
Sunday, September 17 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 2-0 Salernitana
Sunday, September 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-2 Lecce
Sunday, August 27 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 2-1 Lazio
Sunday, August 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 1-0 Como
Sunday, August 13 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Lecce 2-3 Bologna
Sunday, June 4 at 8pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 2-2 Napoli
Saturday, September 16 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 1-0 Genoa
Sunday, September 3 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 0-1 Genoa
Sunday, August 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 1-4 Fiorentina
Saturday, August 19 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 4-3 Modena
Friday, August 11 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Genoa 4-3 Bari
Friday, May 19 at 7.30pm in Serie B


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