SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 58.27%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 18.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for an Atalanta BC win it was 0-1 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Milan | Draw | Atalanta BC |
58.27% ( 0.07) | 23.6% ( 0.03) | 18.13% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 46.83% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.36% ( -0.27) | 52.64% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.71% ( -0.24) | 74.29% ( 0.24) |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.17% ( -0.08) | 17.82% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.43% ( -0.13) | 48.56% ( 0.13) |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.99% ( -0.29) | 43.01% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.7% ( -0.24) | 79.3% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Milan | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 1-0 @ 13.22% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 11.4% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.53% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.83% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 2.42% Total : 58.27% | 1-1 @ 11.15% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.72% Total : 23.59% | 0-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.76% Total : 18.13% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 38 | 28 | 6 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 90 |
| 2 | Lazio | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 60 | 30 | 30 | 74 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 38 | 23 | 3 | 12 | 71 | 42 | 29 | 72 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 70 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 66 | 48 | 18 | 64 |
| 6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 63 |
| 7 | Juventus | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 56 | 33 | 23 | 62 |
| 8 | Fiorentina | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 43 | 10 | 56 |
| 9 | Bologna | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53 | 49 | 4 | 54 |
| 10 | Torino | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 53 |
| 11 | Monza | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 52 |
| 12 | Udinese | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 47 | 61 | -14 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 48 | 62 | -14 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 36 |
| R | SpeziaSpezia | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 31 | 62 | -31 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 31 | 59 | -28 | 31 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 38 | 5 | 12 | 21 | 36 | 69 | -33 | 27 |
| R | Sampdoria | 38 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 24 | 71 | -47 | 19 |
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