SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 53.69%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 20.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.13%) and 1-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Bologna win it was 1-0 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bologna | Draw | Napoli |
20.27% ( 0.15) | 26.04% ( 0.06) | 53.69% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 43.5% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.14% ( -0.05) | 58.85% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.64% ( -0.04) | 79.36% ( 0.04) |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.81% ( 0.13) | 44.19% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.72% ( 0.11) | 80.28% ( -0.1) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.95% ( -0.11) | 22.05% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.61% ( -0.16) | 55.39% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bologna | Draw | Napoli |
| 1-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.8% Total : 20.27% | 1-1 @ 12.03% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.55% Total : 26.04% | 0-1 @ 14.73% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 11.13% ( -0.05)1-2 @ 9.09% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.61% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.58% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 2.12% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.81% Total : 53.68% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 38 | 28 | 6 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 90 |
| 2 | Lazio | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 60 | 30 | 30 | 74 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 38 | 23 | 3 | 12 | 71 | 42 | 29 | 72 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 70 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 66 | 48 | 18 | 64 |
| 6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 63 |
| 7 | Juventus | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 56 | 33 | 23 | 62 |
| 8 | Fiorentina | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 43 | 10 | 56 |
| 9 | Bologna | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53 | 49 | 4 | 54 |
| 10 | Torino | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 53 |
| 11 | Monza | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 52 |
| 12 | Udinese | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 47 | 61 | -14 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 48 | 62 | -14 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 36 |
| R | SpeziaSpezia | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 31 | 62 | -31 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 31 | 59 | -28 | 31 |
| R | Cremonese | 38 | 5 | 12 | 21 | 36 | 69 | -33 | 27 |
| R | Sampdoria | 38 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 24 | 71 | -47 | 19 |
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