SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 32.45% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.49%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-0 (12.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bologna | Draw | Roma |
32.45% ( -0.25) | 29.71% ( 0.03) | 37.84% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 42.67% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.64% ( -0.13) | 64.36% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.56% ( -0.09) | 83.44% ( 0.09) |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.52% ( -0.26) | 36.48% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.73% ( -0.26) | 73.26% ( 0.26) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.17% ( 0.07) | 32.83% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.61% ( 0.08) | 69.39% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bologna | Draw | Roma |
| 1-0 @ 12.07% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.91% Total : 32.45% | 1-1 @ 13.45% 0-0 @ 11.97% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.51% Total : 29.7% | 0-1 @ 13.33% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 7.49% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.43% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0)Other @ 2.63% Total : 37.83% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 38 | 28 | 6 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 90 |
| 2 | Lazio | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 60 | 30 | 30 | 74 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 38 | 23 | 3 | 12 | 71 | 42 | 29 | 72 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 70 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 66 | 48 | 18 | 64 |
| 6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 63 |
| 7 | Juventus | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 56 | 33 | 23 | 62 |
| 8 | Fiorentina | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 43 | 10 | 56 |
| 9 | Bologna | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53 | 49 | 4 | 54 |
| 10 | Torino | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 53 |
| 11 | Monza | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 52 |
| 12 | Udinese | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 47 | 61 | -14 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 48 | 62 | -14 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 36 |
| R | SpeziaSpezia | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 31 | 62 | -31 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 31 | 59 | -28 | 31 |
| R | Cremonese | 38 | 5 | 12 | 21 | 36 | 69 | -33 | 27 |
| R | Sampdoria | 38 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 24 | 71 | -47 | 19 |
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