Despite failing to keep a clean sheet in four of their previous matches at the Dall'Ara, Bologna are backed to get the better of Lazio on Sunday, extending their winning sequence in front of their supporters and avoiding defeat to the capital club on home soil for the sixth game running.
Lazio's Europa League exertions on Thursday give the Rossoblu the physical edge, and Italiano's side should exploit that to supplant the visitors.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 36.75%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 36.24% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-0 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
0.19) 
-0.22) 
