Despite failing to keep a clean sheet in four of their previous matches at the Dall'Ara, Bologna are backed to get the better of Lazio on Sunday, extending their winning sequence in front of their supporters and avoiding defeat to the capital club on home soil for the sixth game running.
Lazio's Europa League exertions on Thursday give the Rossoblu the physical edge, and Italiano's side should exploit that to supplant the visitors.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lazio win with a probability of 36.75%. A win for Bologna has a probability of 36.24% and a draw has a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Bologna win is 1-0 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.82%).
-0.12) 
0.19) 
