In fine form and posing a real threat up front, Udinese will not be beaten easily by a Lazio side that has one eye on Europe.
Yet, the hosts have scored more goals in the last 15 minutes of play of any Serie A team this season - no fewer than 18 - so another late winner cannot be counted out.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lazio win with a probability of 57.66%. A draw has a probability of 23.5% and a win for Udinese has a probability of 18.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Udinese win it is 0-1 (6.42%).
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