Cagliari's winless run at Bologna should continue on Saturday, with the away side falling to a slender defeat against their more coherent hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-0 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
Bologna	Draw	Cagliari
31.66% ( -0.01)	27.85% ( 0.02)	40.49% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 47.58% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.79% (

-0.08)

58.21% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.14% (

-0.07)

78.85% (

0.07)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.24% (

-0.05)

33.75% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.58% (

-0.06)

70.41% (

0.06)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.82% (

-0.05)

28.18% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.13% (

-0.05)

63.87% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Bologna 31.66%

Cagliari 40.48%

Draw 27.84%

Bologna	Draw	Cagliari
1-0 @ 10.33% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.61% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.03% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.39% Total : 31.66%	1-1 @ 13.08% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.84%	0-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.29% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.63% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.22% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 1.78% Total : 40.48%