SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 66.7%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 13.43%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.89%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 8-2 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Salernitana |
66.7% ( -0.63) | 19.86% ( 0.28) | 13.43% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 47.79% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.22% ( -0.42) | 45.77% ( 0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.91% ( -0.4) | 68.08% ( 0.4) |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.19% ( -0.31) | 12.8% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.87% ( -0.63) | 39.12% ( 0.63) |
| Salernitana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.81% ( 0.28) | 45.19% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 18.91% ( 0.22) | 81.08% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Salernitana |
| 2-0 @ 12.22% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 11.89% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 8.37% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.96% Total : 66.69% | 1-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.78% Total : 19.86% | 0-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.25% Total : 13.43% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
| 2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
| 7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
| 8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
| 10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
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