Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 51.47%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 21.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 0-1 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sporting Gijon | Draw | Ponferradina |
51.47% ( 0.02) | 27.25% ( 0.09) | 21.28% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 41.74% ( -0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.15% ( -0.37) | 61.85% ( 0.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.38% ( -0.28) | 81.62% ( 0.28) |
Sporting Gijon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.68% ( -0.15) | 24.32% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.3% ( -0.22) | 58.7% ( 0.23) |
Ponferradina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.15% ( -0.34) | 44.85% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.18% ( -0.27) | 80.81% ( 0.28) |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Gijon | Draw | Ponferradina |
1-0 @ 15.42% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 10.9% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.14% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.22% Total : 51.47% | 1-1 @ 12.36% 0-0 @ 10.9% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.47% Total : 27.24% | 0-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.87% Total : 21.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Granada | 42 | 22 | 9 | 11 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 75 |
2 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 42 | 18 | 18 | 6 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 72 |
3 | Levante | 42 | 18 | 18 | 6 | 46 | 30 | 16 | 72 |
4 | AlavesAlaves | 42 | 19 | 14 | 9 | 47 | 33 | 14 | 71 |
5 | EibarEibar | 42 | 19 | 14 | 9 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 71 |
6 | Albacete | 42 | 17 | 16 | 9 | 58 | 47 | 11 | 67 |
7 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 42 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Real Oviedo | 42 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 59 |
9 | CartagenaCartagena | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 58 |
10 | TenerifeTenerife | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 57 |
11 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 42 | 14 | 12 | 16 | 39 | 40 | -1 | 54 |
12 | Burgos | 42 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 54 |
13 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 42 | 12 | 17 | 13 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 53 |
14 | Leganes | 42 | 14 | 11 | 17 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 53 |
15 | Huesca | 42 | 11 | 19 | 12 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 52 |
16 | MirandesMirandes | 42 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 52 |
17 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 42 | 11 | 17 | 14 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 50 |
18 | Villarreal II | 42 | 13 | 11 | 18 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 50 |
19 | Malaga | 42 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 44 |
20 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 42 | 9 | 17 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 44 |
R | UD Ibiza | 42 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 33 | 66 | -33 | 34 |
R | LugoLugo | 42 | 6 | 13 | 23 | 27 | 57 | -30 | 31 |
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