Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albacete win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Ponferradina had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albacete win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Ponferradina win was 1-0 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ponferradina | Draw | Albacete |
29% ( 0.04) | 27.66% ( -0.01) | 43.34% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 47.01% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.6% ( 0.05) | 58.4% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.99% ( 0.04) | 79% ( -0.03) |
Ponferradina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.15% ( 0.06) | 35.85% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.37% ( 0.06) | 72.63% ( -0.05) |
Albacete Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.28% ( 0.01) | 26.72% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.01% ( 0.01) | 61.99% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Ponferradina | Draw | Albacete |
1-0 @ 9.83% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.65% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.72% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.5% ( 0) Other @ 1.98% Total : 29% | 1-1 @ 12.96% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.58% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.65% | 0-1 @ 12.64% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.56% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.34% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.76% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.67% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 1.98% Total : 43.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Granada | 42 | 22 | 9 | 11 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 75 |
2 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 42 | 18 | 18 | 6 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 72 |
3 | Levante | 42 | 18 | 18 | 6 | 46 | 30 | 16 | 72 |
4 | AlavesAlaves | 42 | 19 | 14 | 9 | 47 | 33 | 14 | 71 |
5 | EibarEibar | 42 | 19 | 14 | 9 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 71 |
6 | Albacete | 42 | 17 | 16 | 9 | 58 | 47 | 11 | 67 |
7 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 42 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Real Oviedo | 42 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 59 |
9 | CartagenaCartagena | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 58 |
10 | TenerifeTenerife | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 57 |
11 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 42 | 14 | 12 | 16 | 39 | 40 | -1 | 54 |
12 | Burgos | 42 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 54 |
13 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 42 | 12 | 17 | 13 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 53 |
14 | Leganes | 42 | 14 | 11 | 17 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 53 |
15 | Huesca | 42 | 11 | 19 | 12 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 52 |
16 | MirandesMirandes | 42 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 52 |
17 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 42 | 11 | 17 | 14 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 50 |
18 | Villarreal II | 42 | 13 | 11 | 18 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 50 |
19 | Malaga | 42 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 44 |
20 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 42 | 9 | 17 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 44 |
R | UD Ibiza | 42 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 33 | 66 | -33 | 34 |
R | LugoLugo | 42 | 6 | 13 | 23 | 27 | 57 | -30 | 31 |
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