SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albacete win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for UD Ibiza had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albacete win was 0-1 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest UD Ibiza win was 1-0 (10.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Albacete would win this match.
| Result | ||
| UD Ibiza | Draw | Albacete |
30.94% ( 0.34) | 28.74% ( -0.02) | 40.32% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 44.86% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.5% ( 0.16) | 61.5% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.63% ( 0.12) | 81.36% ( -0.11) |
| UD Ibiza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.96% ( 0.34) | 36.04% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.18% ( 0.35) | 72.82% ( -0.34) |
| Albacete Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.13% ( -0.11) | 29.87% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.04% ( -0.13) | 65.96% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| UD Ibiza | Draw | Albacete |
| 1-0 @ 10.98% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.77% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.97% Total : 30.93% | 1-1 @ 13.27% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.76% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.73% | 0-1 @ 13% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 8.02% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.86% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.46% Total : 40.32% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Granada | 42 | 22 | 9 | 11 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 75 |
| 2 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 42 | 18 | 18 | 6 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 72 |
| 3 | Levante | 42 | 18 | 18 | 6 | 46 | 30 | 16 | 72 |
| 4 | AlavesAlaves | 42 | 19 | 14 | 9 | 47 | 33 | 14 | 71 |
| 5 | EibarEibar | 42 | 19 | 14 | 9 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 71 |
| 6 | Albacete | 42 | 17 | 16 | 9 | 58 | 47 | 11 | 67 |
| 7 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 42 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
| 8 | Real Oviedo | 42 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 59 |
| 9 | CartagenaCartagena | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 58 |
| 10 | TenerifeTenerife | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 57 |
| 11 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 42 | 14 | 12 | 16 | 39 | 40 | -1 | 54 |
| 12 | Burgos | 42 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 54 |
| 13 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 42 | 12 | 17 | 13 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 53 |
| 14 | Leganes | 42 | 14 | 11 | 17 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 53 |
| 15 | Huesca | 42 | 11 | 19 | 12 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 52 |
| 16 | MirandesMirandes | 42 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 52 |
| 17 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 42 | 11 | 17 | 14 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 50 |
| 18 | Villarreal II | 42 | 13 | 11 | 18 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 50 |
| 19 | Malaga | 42 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 44 |
| 20 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 42 | 9 | 17 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 44 |
| R | UD Ibiza | 42 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 33 | 66 | -33 | 34 |
| R | LugoLugo | 42 | 6 | 13 | 23 | 27 | 57 | -30 | 31 |
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