SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 46.75%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Albacete had a probability of 24.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for an Albacete win it was 0-1 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Zaragoza | Draw | Albacete |
46.75% ( -1.2) | 28.57% ( -0.05) | 24.68% ( 1.25) |
| Both teams to score 41.82% ( 1.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.47% ( 0.91) | 63.52% ( -0.91) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.15% ( 0.65) | 82.84% ( -0.65) |
| Real Zaragoza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.63% ( -0.17) | 27.36% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.17% ( -0.23) | 62.83% ( 0.23) |
| Albacete Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.57% ( 1.73) | 42.42% ( -1.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.2% ( 1.45) | 78.8% ( -1.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Zaragoza | Draw | Albacete |
| 1-0 @ 15.04% ( -0.59) 2-0 @ 9.75% ( -0.43)2-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 3.61% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.69% Total : 46.75% | 1-1 @ 12.9% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 11.6% ( -0.4)2-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.18)Other @ 0.47% Total : 28.56% | 0-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.31)0-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.26)1-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.16)0-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.1)Other @ 1.1% Total : 24.68% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | EibarEibar | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 67 |
| 2 | Granada | 39 | 19 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 29 | 19 | 66 |
| 3 | AlavesAlaves | 39 | 18 | 12 | 9 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 66 |
| 4 | Levante | 39 | 16 | 17 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 65 |
| 5 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 16 | 16 | 6 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 64 |
| 6 | Albacete | 39 | 16 | 14 | 9 | 54 | 44 | 10 | 62 |
| 7 | CartagenaCartagena | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 57 |
| 8 | Real Oviedo | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 55 |
| 9 | TenerifeTenerife | 39 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 39 | 34 | 5 | 53 |
| 10 | Burgos | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 53 |
| 11 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 39 | 14 | 10 | 15 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 52 |
| 12 | MirandesMirandes | 39 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 13 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 39 | 11 | 16 | 12 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 49 |
| 14 | Villarreal II | 39 | 13 | 10 | 16 | 43 | 47 | -4 | 49 |
| 15 | Leganes | 39 | 13 | 10 | 16 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 49 |
| 16 | Huesca | 39 | 10 | 18 | 11 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 48 |
| 17 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 39 | 11 | 15 | 13 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 48 |
| 18 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 39 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 48 |
| 19 | Malaga | 39 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 40 |
| 20 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 39 | 8 | 15 | 16 | 34 | 50 | -16 | 39 |
| R | UD Ibiza | 39 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 29 |
| R | LugoLugo | 39 | 5 | 13 | 21 | 25 | 53 | -28 | 28 |
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