Segunda Division | Gameweek 4
Sep 2, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal El Molinon
Sporting Gijon
2 - 1
Burgos
Otero (18'), Queipo (90+8')
Varane (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Sporting Gijon and Burgos.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 48.32%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 23.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Gijon would win this match.
| Result |
| Sporting Gijon | Draw | Burgos |
48.32% ( -0.02) | 28.55% ( -0.01) | 23.13% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 40.55% ( 0.06) |
| 35.58% ( 0.06) | 64.42% ( -0.05) |
| 16.52% ( 0.04) | 83.48% ( -0.04) |
| 73% ( 0.02) | 27% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.65% ( 0.03) | 62.36% ( -0.02) |
| 55.55% ( 0.07) | 44.45% ( -0.06) |
