SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 38.98%. A draw had a probability of 32.3% and a win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 28.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.18%) and 2-1 (6.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.93%), while for a Real Oviedo win it was 0-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Zaragoza | Draw | Real Oviedo |
38.98% ( -0.33) | 32.27% ( -0.08) | 28.74% ( 0.4) |
| Both teams to score 35.74% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 27.92% ( 0.27) | 72.08% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 11.47% ( 0.17) | 88.53% ( -0.17) |
| Real Zaragoza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.69% ( -0.05) | 36.31% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.9% ( -0.05) | 73.1% ( 0.05) |
| Real Oviedo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.12% ( 0.51) | 43.88% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.97% ( 0.42) | 80.03% ( -0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Zaragoza | Draw | Real Oviedo |
| 1-0 @ 16.14% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 8.18% ( -0.11)2-1 @ 6.73% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.76% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.27% ( -0)3-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.96% Total : 38.98% | 0-0 @ 15.93% ( -0.16) 1-1 @ 13.29% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.27% Total : 32.26% | 0-1 @ 13.12% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.75% Total : 28.74% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | EibarEibar | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 67 |
| 2 | Granada | 39 | 19 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 29 | 19 | 66 |
| 3 | AlavesAlaves | 39 | 18 | 12 | 9 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 66 |
| 4 | Levante | 39 | 16 | 17 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 65 |
| 5 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 16 | 16 | 6 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 64 |
| 6 | Albacete | 39 | 16 | 14 | 9 | 54 | 44 | 10 | 62 |
| 7 | CartagenaCartagena | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 57 |
| 8 | TenerifeTenerife | 39 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 39 | 34 | 5 | 53 |
| 9 | Burgos | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 53 |
| 10 | MirandesMirandes | 39 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 11 | Real Oviedo | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 52 |
| 12 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 31 | 8 | 51 |
| 13 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 38 | 11 | 16 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 49 |
| 14 | Villarreal II | 39 | 13 | 10 | 16 | 43 | 47 | -4 | 49 |
| 15 | Leganes | 39 | 13 | 10 | 16 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 49 |
| 16 | Huesca | 39 | 10 | 18 | 11 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 48 |
| 17 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 39 | 11 | 15 | 13 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 48 |
| 18 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 39 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 48 |
| 19 | Malaga | 39 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 40 |
| 20 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 39 | 8 | 15 | 16 | 34 | 50 | -16 | 39 |
| R | UD Ibiza | 39 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 29 |
| R | LugoLugo | 38 | 5 | 12 | 21 | 23 | 51 | -28 | 27 |
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