SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Cartagena had a probability of 30.56% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.93%) and 2-1 (7.61%). The likeliest Cartagena win was 0-1 (11.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing de Santander would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Racing de Santander | Draw | Cartagena |
39.58% ( 0.66) | 29.86% ( 0.68) | 30.56% ( -1.34) |
| Both teams to score 41.83% ( -2.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.85% ( -2.41) | 65.15% ( 2.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16% ( -1.72) | 83.99% ( 1.71) |
| Racing de Santander Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.84% ( -0.84) | 32.16% ( 0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.35% ( -0.96) | 68.64% ( 0.96) |
| Cartagena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.66% ( -2.34) | 38.34% ( 2.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.9% ( -2.32) | 75.09% ( 2.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing de Santander | Draw | Cartagena |
| 1-0 @ 13.98% ( 0.89) 2-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.34)2-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 3% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.16)Other @ 2.8% Total : 39.57% | 1-1 @ 13.41% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 12.33% ( 1.06)2-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.32)Other @ 0.47% Total : 29.86% | 0-1 @ 11.82% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.4)0-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.22)1-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.27)0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.19)2-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.19)Other @ 1.61% Total : 30.56% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Granada | 42 | 22 | 9 | 11 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 75 |
| 2 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 42 | 18 | 18 | 6 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 72 |
| 3 | Levante | 42 | 18 | 18 | 6 | 46 | 30 | 16 | 72 |
| 4 | AlavesAlaves | 42 | 19 | 14 | 9 | 47 | 33 | 14 | 71 |
| 5 | EibarEibar | 42 | 19 | 14 | 9 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 71 |
| 6 | Albacete | 42 | 17 | 16 | 9 | 58 | 47 | 11 | 67 |
| 7 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 42 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
| 8 | Real Oviedo | 42 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 59 |
| 9 | CartagenaCartagena | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 58 |
| 10 | TenerifeTenerife | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 57 |
| 11 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 42 | 14 | 12 | 16 | 39 | 40 | -1 | 54 |
| 12 | Burgos | 42 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 54 |
| 13 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 42 | 12 | 17 | 13 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 53 |
| 14 | Leganes | 42 | 14 | 11 | 17 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 53 |
| 15 | Huesca | 42 | 11 | 19 | 12 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 52 |
| 16 | MirandesMirandes | 42 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 52 |
| 17 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 42 | 11 | 17 | 14 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 50 |
| 18 | Villarreal II | 42 | 13 | 11 | 18 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 50 |
| 19 | Malaga | 42 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 44 |
| 20 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 42 | 9 | 17 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 44 |
| R | UD Ibiza | 42 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 33 | 66 | -33 | 34 |
| R | LugoLugo | 42 | 6 | 13 | 23 | 27 | 57 | -30 | 31 |
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