SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Andorra win with a probability of 35.67%. A win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Andorra win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.2%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Real Oviedo win was 0-1 (12.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Andorra would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Andorra | Draw | Real Oviedo |
35.67% ( -0.25) | 29.87% ( -0.11) | 34.46% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 42.47% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.3% ( 0.35) | 64.7% ( -0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.32% ( 0.24) | 83.68% ( -0.24) |
| FC Andorra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.58% ( 0.02) | 34.42% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.87% ( 0.02) | 71.13% ( -0.03) |
| Real Oviedo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.76% ( 0.43) | 35.24% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.01% ( 0.45) | 71.99% ( -0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Andorra | Draw | Real Oviedo |
| 1-0 @ 12.93% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 7.2% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 2.56% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.45% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.29% Total : 35.66% | 1-1 @ 13.49% 0-0 @ 12.12% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.86% | 0-1 @ 12.65% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.04% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.13% Total : 34.46% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 28 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 33 | 15 | 18 | 53 |
| 2 | AlavesAlaves | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 52 |
| 3 | Levante | 28 | 13 | 12 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 51 |
| 4 | EibarEibar | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 50 |
| 5 | Granada | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 48 |
| 6 | Albacete | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 46 |
| 7 | Burgos | 28 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 44 |
| 8 | CartagenaCartagena | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 40 |
| 9 | Leganes | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 39 |
| 10 | TenerifeTenerife | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 37 |
| 11 | Villarreal II | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 37 |
| 12 | Huesca | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 36 |
| 13 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 35 |
| 14 | Real Oviedo | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 34 |
| 15 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 33 |
| 16 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 33 |
| 17 | MirandesMirandes | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 33 |
| 18 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 30 |
| 19 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 24 | 33 | -9 | 29 |
| 20 | Malaga | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 22 |
| 21 | LugoLugo | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 22 |
| 22 | UD Ibiza | 28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 19 |
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