SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Livingston win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Johnstone would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Johnstone | Draw | Livingston |
43.96% ( 0.07) | 26.42% ( -0.07) | 29.62% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.93% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.46% ( 0.29) | 53.54% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.95% ( 0.24) | 75.05% ( -0.24) |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.79% ( 0.16) | 24.21% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.45% ( 0.23) | 58.55% ( -0.23) |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.19% ( 0.16) | 32.81% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.63% ( 0.17) | 69.37% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Johnstone | Draw | Livingston |
| 1-0 @ 11.26% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.63% Total : 43.95% | 1-1 @ 12.55% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.42% | 0-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.83% ( 0)Other @ 2.56% Total : 29.62% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Celtic | 33 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 103 | 25 | 78 | 92 |
| 2 | RangersRangers | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 81 | 34 | 47 | 79 |
| 3 | Aberdeen | 33 | 17 | 2 | 14 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 53 |
| 4 | Hearts | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 48 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 44 |
| 6 | St Mirren | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 44 |
| 7 | Livingston | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 42 |
| 8 | Motherwell | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
| 9 | St Johnstone | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 33 |
| 10 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 31 |
| 12 | Ross County | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 27 |
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