SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 52.94%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Dundee United had a probability of 22.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Dundee United win it was 0-1 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Livingston | Draw | Dundee United |
52.94% ( 0.03) | 24.74% ( -0.02) | 22.31% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 49.64% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.88% ( 0.05) | 52.12% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.16% ( 0.04) | 73.84% ( -0.04) |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.35% ( 0.03) | 19.65% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.37% ( 0.05) | 51.63% ( -0.05) |
| Dundee United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.79% ( 0.01) | 38.21% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.03% ( 0.01) | 74.97% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Livingston | Draw | Dundee United |
| 1-0 @ 12.21% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.94% ( 0)2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.19% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.11% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 2.84% Total : 52.94% | 1-1 @ 11.75% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.6% ( 0)Other @ 0.88% Total : 24.74% | 0-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.65% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.48% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.81% 2-3 @ 1.48% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 1.55% Total : 22.31% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Celtic | 33 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 103 | 25 | 78 | 92 |
| 2 | RangersRangers | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 81 | 34 | 47 | 79 |
| 3 | Aberdeen | 33 | 17 | 2 | 14 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 53 |
| 4 | Hearts | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 48 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 44 |
| 6 | St Mirren | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 44 |
| 7 | Livingston | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 42 |
| 8 | Motherwell | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
| 9 | St Johnstone | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 33 |
| 10 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 31 |
| 12 | Ross County | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 27 |
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