SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.03%) and 2-1 (7.88%). The likeliest Livingston win was 0-1 (11.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Johnstone | Draw | Livingston |
40.46% ( -0.01) | 29.24% ( 0.01) | 30.3% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 43.31% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.7% ( -0.03) | 63.3% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.32% ( -0.02) | 82.68% ( 0.03) |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.31% ( -0.02) | 30.69% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.06% ( -0.02) | 66.94% ( 0.03) |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.49% ( -0.02) | 37.51% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.71% ( -0.02) | 74.29% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Johnstone | Draw | Livingston |
| 1-0 @ 13.59% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.03% ( 0)2-1 @ 7.88% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.16% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.1% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.52% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0)4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 1.32% Total : 40.45% | 1-1 @ 13.33% 0-0 @ 11.51% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.86% ( -0)Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.24% | 0-1 @ 11.28% 1-2 @ 6.54% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.53% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.14% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.26% ( -0)Other @ 1.73% Total : 30.29% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Celtic | 33 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 103 | 25 | 78 | 92 |
| 2 | RangersRangers | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 81 | 34 | 47 | 79 |
| 3 | Aberdeen | 33 | 17 | 2 | 14 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 53 |
| 4 | Hearts | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 48 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 44 |
| 6 | St Mirren | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 44 |
| 7 | Livingston | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 42 |
| 8 | Motherwell | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
| 9 | St Johnstone | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 33 |
| 10 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 31 |
| 12 | Ross County | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 27 |
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