SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 1-0 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stenhousemuir would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stranraer | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
34.68% ( -0.11) | 25.38% ( -0.14) | 39.94% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 56.16% ( 0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.39% ( 0.61) | 47.61% ( -0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.19% ( 0.56) | 69.81% ( -0.57) |
| Stranraer Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.5% ( 0.22) | 26.49% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.31% ( 0.3) | 61.68% ( -0.3) |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.4% ( 0.4) | 23.6% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.32% ( 0.58) | 57.68% ( -0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stranraer | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
| 1-0 @ 8.31% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.21% Total : 34.68% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 8.66% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.17% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.03% Total : 39.94% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 20 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 37 | 13 | 24 | 49 |
| 2 | PeterheadPeterhead | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 35 |
| 3 | Spartans | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 32 |
| 4 | Dumbarton | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 34 | 24 | 10 | 31 |
| 5 | Bonnyrigg Rose AthleticBonnyrigg Rose | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 23 |
| 6 | StranraerStranraer | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 22 |
| 7 | East FifeEast Fife | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 21 |
| 8 | Forfar AthleticForfar | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 20 |
| 9 | Elgin CityElgin | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 36 | -20 | 18 |
| 10 | Clyde | 19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 13 |
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