SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 45.39%. A win for Peterhead had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Peterhead win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stenhousemuir would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Peterhead |
45.39% ( 0.57) | 23.93% ( -0.09) | 30.68% ( -0.49) |
| Both teams to score 59.73% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.7% ( 0.17) | 42.3% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.29% ( 0.17) | 64.7% ( -0.17) |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.14% ( 0.3) | 18.85% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.69% ( 0.51) | 50.31% ( -0.51) |
| Peterhead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.61% ( -0.23) | 26.38% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.46% ( -0.3) | 61.54% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Peterhead |
| 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 5.13% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.37% Total : 45.39% | 1-1 @ 11.05% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.52% ( 0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.92% | 1-2 @ 7.37% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.31% Total : 30.68% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 29 | 11 | 18 | 37 |
| 2 | PeterheadPeterhead | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 32 |
| 3 | Dumbarton | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 29 |
| 4 | Spartans | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 26 |
| 5 | Bonnyrigg Rose AthleticBonnyrigg Rose | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 22 |
| 6 | StranraerStranraer | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 19 |
| 7 | East FifeEast Fife | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 16 |
| 8 | Forfar AthleticForfar | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 13 |
| 9 | Elgin CityElgin | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 30 | -19 | 12 |
| 10 | Clyde | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 29 | -16 | 8 |
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