SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 73.21%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 10.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.63%) and 0-3 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.72%), while for a Stenhousemuir win it was 1-0 (3.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | St Johnstone |
10.44% ( -1.13) | 16.35% ( -1) | 73.21% ( 2.13) |
| Both teams to score 50.24% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.54% ( 1.54) | 37.45% ( -1.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.32% ( 1.64) | 59.67% ( -1.64) |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.11% ( -1) | 44.88% ( 0.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.16% ( -0.81) | 80.84% ( 0.8) |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.15% ( 0.89) | 8.85% ( -0.89) |
