SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 56.6%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic had a probability of 20.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic |
56.6% ( -0.04) | 23.01% ( 0) | 20.39% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 52.3% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.73% ( 0.04) | 47.27% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.51% ( 0.04) | 69.49% ( -0.04) |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.51% | 16.49% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.79% ( 0) | 46.21% |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.62% ( 0.07) | 37.38% ( -0.07) |
