Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 59.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Queen of the South had a probability of 18.51%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Queen of the South win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.