MX23RW : Sunday, February 12 05:48:53
SM
Sunday, February 12
Jul 9, 2022 at 3pm UK at Somerset Park
Ayr
3 - 0
Elgin
Ayr win 4-3 on penalties

Murdoch (78')
FT

Dolzanski (10'), Dingwall (69')
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Ayr United and Elgin City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ayr 3-1 Partick
Friday, April 29 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Stranraer 2-0 Elgin
Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-0 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Ayr UnitedDrawElgin City
32.92% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 27% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 40.08% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.45% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.24% (0.047999999999995 0.05)54.76% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.93% (0.038 0.04)76.07% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.89% (0.040999999999997 0.04)31.11% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.57% (0.048999999999999 0.05)67.43% (-0.048999999999992 -0.05)
Elgin City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.22% (0.013000000000005 0.01)26.77% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.94% (0.015999999999998 0.02)62.06% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Ayr United 32.92%
    Elgin City 40.07%
    Draw 27%
Ayr UnitedDrawElgin City
1-0 @ 9.73% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.48% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.68% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 2.91% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.92% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 32.92%
1-1 @ 12.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.33% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.93% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 27%
0-1 @ 10.97% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.44% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 7.23% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.71% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 3.18% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.17% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.22% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 40.07%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Ayr 3-1 Partick
Friday, April 29 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: QotS 1-1 Ayr
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Dunfermline 2-1 Ayr
Saturday, April 16 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Ayr 2-2 Inverness
Saturday, April 9 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Ayr 1-1 Hamilton
Friday, April 1 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Morton 1-1 Ayr
Saturday, March 26 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Stranraer 2-0 Elgin
Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Elgin 1-4 Cowdenbeath
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Stirling 0-2 Elgin
Saturday, April 16 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Elgin 0-2 Stenhousemuir
Saturday, April 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Albion Rovers 0-0 Elgin
Saturday, April 2 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Elgin 2-0 Edinburgh
Saturday, March 26 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
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