SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Queen's Park | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Arbroath | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Arbroath | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Ayr United | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Dundee | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 50.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 24.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Queen's Park | Draw | Ayr United |
50.05% ( -0.01) | 25.85% ( 0) | 24.11% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.45% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.29% ( -0.01) | 54.71% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.97% ( -0.01) | 76.03% ( 0.01) |
| Queen's Park Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.1% ( -0.01) | 21.9% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.84% ( -0.02) | 55.16% ( 0.02) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.04% ( -0) | 37.97% ( 0) |
