SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 48.86%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 25.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Ayr United |
48.86% ( -0.06) | 25.86% ( -0.23) | 25.28% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 49.52% ( 0.92) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.14% ( 1.07) | 53.86% ( -1.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.68% ( 0.89) | 75.32% ( -0.89) |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.93% ( 0.42) | 22.07% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.59% ( 0.64) | 55.41% ( -0.64) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.55% ( 0.84) | 36.45% ( -0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.76% ( 0.84) | 73.24% ( -0.84) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Ayr United |
| 1-0 @ 12.15% ( -0.36) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 4.67% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.09% Total : 48.86% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.34)2-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.14)Other @ 0.87% Total : 25.85% | 0-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.84% Total : 25.28% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dundee | 35 | 16 | 12 | 7 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 60 |
| 2 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 60 | 47 | 13 | 58 |
| 3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 56 |
| 4 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 35 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 59 | 42 | 17 | 55 |
| 5 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 35 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 51 | 45 | 6 | 55 |
| 6 | Greenock MortonMorton | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 51 | 42 | 9 | 54 |
| 7 | Raith Rovers | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 47 | -3 | 42 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 35 | 6 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 33 |
| 9 | Cove Rangers | 35 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 37 | 73 | -36 | 31 |
| 10 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 31 | 63 | -32 | 30 |
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