SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 53.77%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 22.91%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Cove Rangers win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Cove Rangers |
53.77% ( -0.4) | 23.32% ( 0.19) | 22.91% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 54.83% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.39% ( -0.6) | 45.61% ( 0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.06% ( -0.57) | 67.93% ( 0.57) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.1% ( -0.36) | 16.89% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.07% ( -0.64) | 46.93% ( 0.64) |
| Cove Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.98% ( -0.14) | 34.02% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.3% ( -0.15) | 70.7% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Cove Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 2.4% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.05% Total : 53.77% | 1-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.31% | 0-1 @ 6.2% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.14% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.2% Total : 22.91% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 58 | 39 | 19 | 54 |
| 2 | Dundee | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 50 |
| 3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 49 |
| 4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 49 | 40 | 9 | 45 |
| 5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 43 |
| 6 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 39 |
| 7 | Raith Rovers | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 38 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 29 | 5 | 13 | 11 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 28 |
| 9 | Cove Rangers | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 65 | -31 | 26 |
| 10 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 25 |
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