SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 54.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 22.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundee | Draw | Ayr United |
54.46% ( -0.02) | 23.26% ( 0) | 22.28% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.22% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.97% ( 0) | 46.03% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.67% ( 0) | 68.34% ( 0) |
| Dundee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.2% ( -0) | 16.8% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.24% ( -0.01) | 46.77% ( 0.01) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.17% ( 0.02) | 34.83% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.43% ( 0.01) | 71.57% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundee | Draw | Ayr United |
| 1-0 @ 10.43% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.82% 2-0 @ 9.31% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.84% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.54% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.6% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.47% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.37% 5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 3.07% Total : 54.45% | 1-1 @ 11% 0-0 @ 5.85% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.25% | 0-1 @ 6.17% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.81% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.25% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.04% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 2.05% Total : 22.28% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 29 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 58 | 38 | 20 | 54 |
| 2 | Dundee | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 50 |
| 3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 46 |
| 4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 45 |
| 5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 43 |
| 6 | Raith Rovers | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 38 |
| 7 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 36 |
| 8 | Cove Rangers | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 34 | 62 | -28 | 26 |
| 9 | Arbroath | 28 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 25 |
| 10 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 25 |
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