Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 47.22%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 26.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
