Raith Rovers 2-1 Arbroath - Scottish Championship - October 16, 2021 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

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Oct 16, 2021 at 3pm UK at Stark's Park

Raith Rovers

2 - 1

Arbroath

Tait (3'), Matthews (45+1')
Berra (32'), Varian (35')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Dowds (90+4')
Hamilton (44'), McKenna (49'), Little (68')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Raith Rovers and Arbroath.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 56.05%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 20.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.

Result
Raith Rovers	Draw	Arbroath
56.05%	23.4%	20.54%

Both teams to score 51.29%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.28%

48.71%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.17%

70.82%

Raith Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.8%

17.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.53%

47.47%

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.94%

38.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.17%

74.82%

Score Analysis

Raith Rovers 56.05%

Arbroath 20.54%

Draw 23.4%

Raith Rovers	Draw	Arbroath
1-0 @ 11.52% 2-0 @ 10.14% 2-1 @ 9.8% 3-0 @ 5.95% 3-1 @ 5.75% 3-2 @ 2.78% 4-0 @ 2.62% 4-1 @ 2.53% 4-2 @ 1.22% 5-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.82% Total : 56.05%	1-1 @ 11.13% 0-0 @ 6.54% 2-2 @ 4.73% Other @ 1% Total : 23.4%	0-1 @ 6.32% 1-2 @ 5.38% 0-2 @ 3.05% 1-3 @ 1.73% 2-3 @ 1.52% 0-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.55% Total : 20.54%