Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 63.42%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
