Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 36.7%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.87%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-0 (10.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
