Hamilton Academical 2-1 Inverness Caledonian Thistle - Scottish Championship - October 2, 2021 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

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Oct 2, 2021 at 3pm UK at New Douglas Park

Hamilton

2 - 1

Inverness

Smith (5'), Ryan (26')
Mimnaugh (7'), Redfern (20'), Want (45+6'), Fulton (79'), Hughes (82')
Mimnaugh (30')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Gardyne (90+2')
Duku (21'), Welsh (32')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Hamilton Academical and Inverness Caledonian Thistle.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 39.29%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamilton Academical would win this match.

Result
Hamilton Academical	Draw	Inverness Caledonian Thistle
39.29%	26.64%	34.07%

Both teams to score 51.84%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.89%

53.1%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.32%

74.68%

Hamilton Academical Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.56%

26.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.39%

61.61%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.47%

29.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.45%

65.55%

Score Analysis

Hamilton Academical 39.28%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 34.07%

Draw 26.63%

Hamilton Academical	Draw	Inverness Caledonian Thistle
1-0 @ 10.38% 2-1 @ 8.43% 2-0 @ 6.91% 3-1 @ 3.74% 3-0 @ 3.06% 3-2 @ 2.28% 4-1 @ 1.24% 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.22% Total : 39.28%	1-1 @ 12.66% 0-0 @ 7.81% 2-2 @ 5.14% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.63%	0-1 @ 9.52% 1-2 @ 7.73% 0-2 @ 5.81% 1-3 @ 3.14% 0-3 @ 2.36% 2-3 @ 2.09% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.46% Total : 34.07%

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11

Table

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Havant & Waterlooville Havant & W'ville	21	14	4	3	48	27	21	46
2	Ebbsfleet	18	14	3	1	43	15	28	45
3	Dartford Dartford	22	13	3	6	41	23	18	42
4	Chelmsford City Chelmsford City	20	12	4	4	28	15	13	40
5	St Albans City St Albans City	22	10	6	6	34	19	15	36
6	Worthing	20	9	8	3	33	22	11	35
7	Oxford City Oxford City	22	9	7	6	34	28	6	34
8	Braintree Town Braintree	20	10	4	6	34	26	8	34
9	Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne	21	10	3	8	39	31	8	33
10	Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels	22	9	3	10	30	38	-8	30
11	Bath City	20	8	6	6	31	28	3	30
12	Dover Athletic Dover Athletic	20	7	6	7	27	27	0	27
13	Welling United Welling United	20	6	8	6	27	31	-4	26
14	Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead	21	6	6	9	23	30	-7	24
15	Farnborough Town	18	6	5	7	18	19	-1	23
16	Hampton & Richmond Hampton	20	6	4	10	26	34	-8	22
17	Taunton Town Taunton Town	17	5	7	5	15	16	-1	22
18	Concord Rangers	19	6	3	10	19	31	-12	21
19	Slough Town Slough	21	5	4	12	22	42	-20	19
20	Dulwich Hamlet Dulwich Hamlet	17	5	3	9	24	31	-7	18
21	Chippenham Town Chippenham	18	4	4	10	13	26	-13	16
22	Weymouth	19	4	3	12	20	36	-16	15
23	Cheshunt	20	4	1	15	21	42	-21	13
24	Hungerford Town Hungerford	20	3	3	14	15	28	-13	12