SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Cove Rangers | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Dundee | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Hamilton Academical | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 9 | Queen's Park | 2 | -1 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 33.15% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (11.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundee | Draw | Arbroath |
38.36% ( 0.52) | 28.49% ( 0.01) | 33.15% ( -0.53) |
| Both teams to score 46.1% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.78% ( -0.1) | 60.22% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.59% ( -0.08) | 80.41% ( 0.08) |
| Dundee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.6% ( 0.27) | 30.39% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.41% ( 0.32) | 66.59% ( -0.32) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.24% ( -0.42) | 33.76% ( 0.42) |
