SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Ross County | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | St Johnstone | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | St Mirren | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arbroath | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Ayr United | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Cove Rangers | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 44.56%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.7%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Mirren | Draw | Arbroath |
44.56% ( 0) | 27.65% ( 0) | 27.79% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 46.36% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.11% ( -0.01) | 58.89% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.62% ( -0.01) | 79.38% ( 0.01) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.68% ( -0) | 26.32% ( 0) |
