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Scottish Championship | Gameweek 3
Aug 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Excelsior Stadium
IC
Airdrieonians
2 - 1
Inverness
Harper (1' og.), Gallagher (32')
Frizzell (45+2'), McMaster (90+3')
Frizzell (50')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Shaw (70')
Gilmour (28'), Samuels (40'), Mckay (66')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Airdrieonians and Inverness Caledonian Thistle.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Airdrieonians 3-4 Ross County
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 36.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Airdrieonians in this match.

Result
AirdrieoniansDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
38.97% (0.936 0.94) 24.67% (-0.496 -0.5) 36.36% (-0.434 -0.43)
Both teams to score 58.9% (1.757 1.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.83% (2.281 2.28)44.17% (-2.274 -2.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.45% (2.181 2.18)66.55% (-2.174 -2.17)
Airdrieonians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.43% (1.506 1.51)22.57% (-1.5 -1.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.83% (2.186 2.19)56.17% (-2.179 -2.18)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.07% (0.812 0.81)23.93% (-0.805 -0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.85% (1.144 1.14)58.15% (-1.137 -1.14)
Score Analysis
    Airdrieonians 38.97%
    Inverness Caledonian Thistle 36.36%
    Draw 24.67%
AirdrieoniansDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
2-1 @ 8.56% (0.122 0.12)
1-0 @ 8.04% (-0.44 -0.44)
2-0 @ 5.98% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.25% (0.241 0.24)
3-2 @ 3.04% (0.239 0.24)
3-0 @ 2.97% (0.102 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.58% (0.154 0.15)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.134 0.13)
4-0 @ 1.11% (0.084 0.08)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 38.97%
1-1 @ 11.49% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-2 @ 6.12% (0.226 0.23)
0-0 @ 5.4% (-0.553 -0.55)
3-3 @ 1.45% (0.145 0.15)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.67%
1-2 @ 8.22% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-1 @ 7.72% (-0.593 -0.59)
0-2 @ 5.52% (-0.286 -0.29)
1-3 @ 3.92% (0.067 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.92% (0.174 0.17)
0-3 @ 2.63% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.4% (0.056 0.06)
2-4 @ 1.04% (0.085 0.09)
0-4 @ 0.94% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 36.36%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Airdrieonians 3-4 Ross County
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Airdrieonians 2-1 Partick
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Dunfermline 2-1 Airdrieonians
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Bonnyrigg Rose 0-1 Airdrieonians
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Inverness 2-3 Airdrieonians
Tuesday, July 25 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Airdrieonians 1-0 Dundee
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Ayr 1-0 Inverness
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Inverness 1-2 Queen's Park
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Dundee 1-0 Inverness
Sunday, July 30 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Inverness 2-3 Airdrieonians
Tuesday, July 25 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Dumbarton 2-1 Inverness
Tuesday, July 18 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Inverness 2-1 Bonnyrigg Rose
Saturday, July 15 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
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