Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 64.49%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Orenburg had a probability of 15.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.14%), while for a Orenburg win it was 1-2 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Spartak Moscow in this match.

Result
Spartak Moscow	Draw	Orenburg
64.49% ( 0.27)	19.59% ( -0.04)	15.93% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 55.18% (

-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.78% (

-0.26)

39.23% (

0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.44% (

-0.27)

61.56% (

0.28)

Spartak Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.53%

11.48% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.68% (

-0.01)

36.32% (

0.01)

Orenburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.34% (

-0.43)

37.66% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.56% (

-0.43)

74.44% (

0.43)

Score Analysis

Spartak Moscow 64.48%

Orenburg 15.93%

Draw 19.59%

Spartak Moscow	Draw	Orenburg
2-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 7.14% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.86% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.67% ( -0) Other @ 4.09% Total : 64.48%	1-1 @ 9.14% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.16% Total : 19.59%	1-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 4.22% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.16% Total : 15.93%