SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for HNK Rijeka had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest HNK Rijeka win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| HNK Rijeka | Draw | Dinamo Zagreb |
36.21% ( -1.05) | 25.97% ( 0.64) | 37.82% ( 0.42) |
| Both teams to score 54.32% ( -2.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.94% ( -2.87) | 50.06% ( 2.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.97% ( -2.61) | 72.03% ( 2.62) |
| HNK Rijeka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.25% ( -1.93) | 26.75% ( 1.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.97% ( -2.62) | 62.03% ( 2.62) |
| Dinamo Zagreb Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.16% ( -1.09) | 25.84% ( 1.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.19% ( -1.51) | 60.81% ( 1.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| HNK Rijeka | Draw | Dinamo Zagreb |
| 1-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.56) 2-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.2)2-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.29)3-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.28)4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.17)Other @ 3.14% Total : 36.21% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( 0.38) 0-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.77)2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.31)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.97% | 0-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.78) 1-2 @ 8.35% 0-2 @ 6.33% ( 0.34)1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.23)1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 37.82% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Hajduk Split | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 40 |
| 2 | HNK RijekaRijeka | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 12 | 16 | 32 |
| 3 | Dinamo Zagreb | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 30 | 14 | 16 | 30 |
| 4 | GoricaGorica | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 26 |
| 5 | Osijek | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 23 |
| 6 | NK Lokomotiva | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
| 7 | NK VarazdinVarazdin | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 17 |
| 8 | NK Istra 1961Istra 1961 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 17 |
| 9 | Slaven Koprivnica | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 17 |
| 10 | Rudes | 17 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 7 | 36 | -29 | 4 |
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