SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 56.08%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Gorica had a probability of 19.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Gorica win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for HNK Rijeka in this match.
| Result | ||
| HNK Rijeka | Draw | Gorica |
56.08% ( 0.07) | 24.01% ( 0.02) | 19.9% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 48.51% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.08% ( -0.2) | 51.92% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.33% ( -0.18) | 73.67% ( 0.18) |
| HNK Rijeka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.63% ( -0.05) | 18.37% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.51% ( -0.08) | 49.49% ( 0.08) |
| Gorica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.43% ( -0.22) | 40.57% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.83% ( -0.2) | 77.17% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| HNK Rijeka | Draw | Gorica |
| 1-0 @ 12.62% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 10.7% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.56% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.31% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.23% Total : 56.08% | 1-1 @ 11.39% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.82% Total : 24.01% | 0-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.25% Total : 19.9% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Hajduk Split | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 40 |
| 2 | HNK RijekaRijeka | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 12 | 16 | 32 |
| 3 | Dinamo Zagreb | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 30 | 14 | 16 | 30 |
| 4 | GoricaGorica | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 26 |
| 5 | Osijek | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 23 |
| 6 | NK Lokomotiva | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
| 7 | NK VarazdinVarazdin | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 17 |
| 8 | NK Istra 1961Istra 1961 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 17 |
| 9 | Slaven Koprivnica | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 17 |
| 10 | Rudes | 17 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 7 | 36 | -29 | 4 |
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