SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 52.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Gorica had a probability of 21.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.23%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Gorica win it was 1-0 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gorica | Draw | Dinamo Zagreb |
21.97% ( -0.03) | 25.22% ( 0.14) | 52.81% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 47.84% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.71% ( -0.55) | 54.28% ( 0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.32% ( -0.46) | 75.68% ( 0.45) |
| Gorica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.22% ( -0.34) | 39.77% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.56% ( -0.31) | 76.44% ( 0.31) |
| Dinamo Zagreb Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.44% ( -0.26) | 20.56% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.92% ( -0.41) | 53.08% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gorica | Draw | Dinamo Zagreb |
| 1-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.36% Total : 21.97% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.77% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 12.93% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 10.23% ( 0.06)1-2 @ 9.43% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 5.4% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.97% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 2.13% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.97% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.54% Total : 52.8% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Hajduk Split | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 40 |
| 2 | HNK RijekaRijeka | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 12 | 16 | 32 |
| 3 | Dinamo Zagreb | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 30 | 14 | 16 | 30 |
| 4 | GoricaGorica | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 26 |
| 5 | Osijek | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 23 |
| 6 | NK Lokomotiva | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
| 7 | NK VarazdinVarazdin | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 17 |
| 8 | NK Istra 1961Istra 1961 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 17 |
| 9 | Slaven Koprivnica | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 17 |
| 10 | Rudes | 17 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 7 | 36 | -29 | 4 |
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