SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Vizela win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vizela | Draw | Rio Ave |
31.61% ( 0.16) | 26.04% ( 0.1) | 42.34% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 53.03% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.75% ( -0.37) | 51.24% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.92% ( -0.33) | 73.08% ( 0.32) |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.78% ( -0.08) | 30.21% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.62% ( -0.1) | 66.38% ( 0.09) |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.99% ( -0.3) | 24% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.74% ( -0.42) | 58.25% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vizela | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 1-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 7.41% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 2.96% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.19% Total : 31.61% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.04% | 0-1 @ 10.34% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.84% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 7.38% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.2% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.78% Total : 42.33% |
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