Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (10.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match.
