MX23RW : Saturday, April 1 21:10:50
SM
Saturday, April 1
Oct 2, 2020 at 9.15pm UK at Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Guimaraes
1 - 0
Pacos de Ferreira
Andre (83' pen.)
Suliman (75'), Silvio (79'), Duarte (88'), Varela (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Marcelo (68'), Baixinho (90+4')
Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Pacos de Ferreira.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 49.22%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 24.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawPacos de Ferreira
49.22%26.65%24.13%
Both teams to score 46.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.4%57.6%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.63%78.37%
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.51%23.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.48%57.52%
Pacos de Ferreira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.44%39.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.75%76.25%
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 49.22%
    Pacos de Ferreira 24.13%
    Draw 26.65%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawPacos de Ferreira
1-0 @ 13.46%
2-0 @ 9.75%
2-1 @ 9.04%
3-0 @ 4.71%
3-1 @ 4.37%
3-2 @ 2.02%
4-0 @ 1.71%
4-1 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 49.22%
1-1 @ 12.48%
0-0 @ 9.29%
2-2 @ 4.19%
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 8.62%
1-2 @ 5.79%
0-2 @ 4%
1-3 @ 1.79%
2-3 @ 1.3%
0-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 24.13%

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Primeira Liga Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica25222166145268
2Porto25184355173858
3Braga25182554223256
4Sporting Lisbon24162649232650
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes2612592529-441
6AroucaArouca2510872932-338
7Casa Pia26115102327-438
8Vizela26105113028235
9Rio AveRio Ave2596102528-333
10FamalicaoFamalicao25103122532-733
11ChavesChaves258892631-532
12BoavistaBoavista2586112840-1230
13Gil Vicente2585122632-629
14PortimonensePortimonense2582151832-1426
15Estoril PraiaEstoril2674152239-1725
16Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira2645171943-2417
17Maritimo2544171747-3016
18Santa ClaraSanta Clara2536161738-2115
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