Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 36%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 35.84% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.7%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (11.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pacos de Ferreira would win this match.
