Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 45.16%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.
