Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Gil Vicente and Vitoria de Guimaraes.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 48.14%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 24.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.61%) and 1-2 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.