Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.44%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 (12.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
