Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 33.73% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.78%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (11.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boavista would win this match.
