Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 43.86%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 27.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.95%) and 2-1 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.14%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
